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joer4122

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.6 wins, so it did +41.0 pts better than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
+41.0 pts
Called / graded
1/1
Expected from price
0.6
Flagged volume
$15.1k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±49.2 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$3,385
Last 30 days −$193 · $204.3k volume · 115 trades · since Feb 21, 19:00 EST

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API
Realized P&L
+$6,222
Open P&L · 4 positions
−$3,298
Closed-position win rate
48%
56 closed
Wallet age · markets
245d
63 markets traded

By category

CategoryGradedCalledExpectedEdge
Other110.6+41.0 pts

History

MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWhenResult
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?LOW BUY Yes @ 59¢ $15.1k59% 245d agocalled

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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x5c9580…