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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 2 of 3. The prices it paid implied about 2.1 wins, so it did -3.7 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
-3.7 pts
Called / graded
2/3
Expected from price
2.1
Flagged volume
$230.6k
Sample size3 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±22.1 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$2.20M
Last 30 days +$0 · $53.21M volume · 20,676 trades · since Sep 08, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$6.82M
Open P&L · 0 positions
+$0
Closed-position win rate
100%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
411d
1347 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 3 | 2 | 2.1 | -3.7 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | MED SELL Yes @ 65¢ | $106.6k 2.5× usual |
missed |
 Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | LOW BUY No @ 98.3¢ | $42.6k | excluded |
| Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | LOW BUY No @ 98.5¢ | $13.3k | excluded |
 Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | LOW BUY No @ 88¢ | $24.2k | called |
 Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | LOW BUY No @ 88¢ | $43.8k | called |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xa9878e…