1922

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me

What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.1 wins, so it did -14.0 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →

Current positions

Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?+$44.2kNo · avg 50¢ → 79¢ · $119.2k Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?−$44.2kYes · avg 50¢ → 21¢ · $30.8k Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?+$926No · avg 86¢ → 90¢ · $26.0k Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?+$275No · avg 87¢ → 92.5¢ · $4,625 Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?+$154Yes · avg 10¢ → 14¢ · $595 Will Michael Olise finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?−$2Yes · avg 18¢ → 18¢ · $160 Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?+$79Yes · avg 31¢ → 71¢ · $141 Will Ousmane Dembélé finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?−$112Yes · avg 30¢ → 7.5¢ · $37

Price-adjusted edge

-14.0 pts

Called / graded

0/1

Expected from price

0.1

Flagged volume

$109.6k

Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill

We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±34.7 pts std. error.

Lifetime P&L on Polymarket

+$147.9k

Last 30 days +$359 · $19.31M volume · 65,878 trades · since Jan 09, 19:00 EST

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API

Realized P&L · recent 500 closed

+$848.8k

Open P&L · 393 positions

−$304.6k

Closed-position win rate

100%

500 closed

Wallet age · markets

288d

2577 markets traded

By category

Category	Graded	Called	Expected	Edge
Other	1	0	0.1	-14.0 pts

History

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	When	Result
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢	$50.0k 2.0× usual	0%	104d ago	excluded
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	LOW SELL Yes @ 86¢	$15.8k	14%	202d ago	missed
Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverines	LOW SELL Michigan Wolverines @ 52¢	$10.4k	48%	203d ago	excluded
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Iowa Hawkeyes	LOW SELL Nebraska Cornhuskers @ 62¢	$33.4k	38%	211d ago	excluded

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?excluded

SELL No @ 99.9¢$50.0k

LOW 1922 · 104d ago

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?missed

SELL Yes @ 86¢$15.8k

LOW 1922 · 202d ago

Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverinesexcluded

SELL Michigan Wolverines @ 52¢$10.4k

LOW 1922 · 203d ago

Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Iowa Hawkeyesexcluded

SELL Nebraska Cornhuskers @ 62¢$33.4k

LOW 1922 · 211d ago

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