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What this means. A wallet put $16.0k on No, at a price that gave it a 37% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 6 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$16.0k
BUY No @ 37¢ · 43,264 shares
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet bin74848484848 took No (buy) for $16.0k at an average 37¢. At that price the market implied a 37% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $16.0k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 37¢ means
37%chance the market gave
+170American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 37¢
- Implied odds
- 37.0%
- Size
- $16.0k
- Placed
- Apr 19, 11:46 EDT
- Market close
- May 19, 20:17 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- bin74848484848
- Tx
- 0x4e04bb30…
This wallet's graded record
3/6-12.2 pts
expected 3.7 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $60.3k 3.0× usual |
excluded |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $39.4k | excluded |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $12.9k | excluded |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | LOW BUY Yes @ 86¢ | $10.3k | called |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | LOW BUY Yes @ 82¢ | $17.7k | called |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | LOW BUY Yes @ 87¢ | $13.1k | called |