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Weekly report card

Week 2026-08

Feb 16, 00:00 EST – Feb 22, 23:59 EST · markets that resolved this week

Price-adjusted edge
+6.3 pts
Called
37/52
Expected from price
33.7
Std. error
±6.3

In week 2026-08, 52 graded flags resolved. The flagged side won 37 times; entry prices implied 33.7. Whales beat the price by +6.3 pts. One week is a small sample.

By category

CategoryGradedCalledExpectedEdge
Sports473329.7+6.9 pts
Other443.3+18.0 pts
Crypto100.7-73.3 pts

Every graded flag

MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-21?MED BUY Yes @ 67¢ $125.5k
3.7× usual
67% WoofMaster244d agocalled
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-17?MED BUY No @ 55¢ $86.7k
2.7× usual
55% NorthBalticMan9248d agomissed
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-21?MED BUY Yes @ 65¢ $67.8k65% shutitfatty244d agocalled
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-21?LOW BUY Yes @ 54¢ $60.8k
2.0× usual
54% Yamato1945246d agomissed
LoL: Gen.G vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - LCK Cup PlayoffsLOW BUY Gen.G @ 87¢ $55.2k87% gmanas245d agocalled
Qatar Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Arthur FilsMED BUY Alcaraz @ 87¢ $50.0k
2.0× usual
87% jinsanity244d agocalled
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-17?LOW BUY Yes @ 45¢ $49.6k
2.0× usual
45% jinsanity248d agocalled
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-21?LOW BUY Yes @ 55¢ $43.6k55% 3284244d agomissed
Raptors vs. BullsMED BUY Raptors @ 67¢ $38.2k67% shan776246d agocalled
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-21?LOW BUY No @ 36¢ $36.0k36% Wannac244d agomissed
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-17?LOW BUY No @ 52¢ $32.5k52% NorthBalticMan9249d agomissed
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-17?LOW BUY Yes @ 67¢ $31.6k67% joosangyoo248d agocalled
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-17?LOW BUY Yes @ 45¢ $31.1k45% shutitfatty248d agocalled
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 1m?MED BUY No @ 80¢ $28.6k80% penang21250d agocalled
LoL: Gen.G vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - LCK Cup PlayoffsLOW BUY Gen.G @ 86¢ $28.5k86% retroactivesource245d agocalled
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-17?MED BUY Yes @ 45¢ $27.9k45% joosangyoo248d agocalled
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group StageLOW BUY FURIA @ 69¢ $27.4k69% xXFrameMoggedByFratLeade248d agocalled
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-21?MED BUY Yes @ 65¢ $27.4k65% coinlaundry244d agocalled
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-17?LOW BUY Yes @ 53¢ $27.2k53% elkmonkey249d agocalled
LoL: Gen.G vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - LCK Cup PlayoffsLOW BUY Gen.G @ 87¢ $26.4k87% redvinny245d agocalled
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 1m?LOW BUY No @ 80¢ $26.3k80% 0x5ecd…0787250d agocalled
LoL: Gen.G vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - LCK Cup PlayoffsLOW BUY Gen.G @ 86¢ $26.2k86% ling..b245d agocalled
LoL: Gen.G vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - LCK Cup PlayoffsLOW BUY Gen.G @ 86¢ $25.0k86% retroactivesource246d agocalled
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-21?LOW BUY No @ 33¢ $24.8k33% TheOnlyHuman244d agomissed
Raptors vs. BullsLOW BUY Raptors @ 67¢ $24.5k67% Painfulvoid246d agocalled
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-22?LOW BUY Yes @ 62¢ $23.9k62% NorthBalticMan9244d agocalled
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-17?LOW BUY No @ 55¢ $20.9k55% 0xa5aa…1449249d agomissed
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-17?LOW BUY Yes @ 52¢ $20.8k52% elkmonkey250d agocalled
Raptors vs. BullsLOW BUY Raptors @ 67¢ $20.1k67% TheOnlyHuman246d agocalled
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?LOW BUY Yes @ 75¢ $19.9k75% Annica245d agocalled
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-17?LOW BUY No @ 55¢ $19.9k55% shan776248d agomissed
LoL: Gen.G vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - LCK Cup PlayoffsLOW BUY Gen.G @ 86¢ $17.8k86% 0x7671…7244245d agocalled
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-17?LOW BUY Yes @ 67¢ $17.6k67% elkmonkey249d agocalled
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-17?LOW BUY Yes @ 49¢ $16.5k49% DavidTrezeguet249d agocalled
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group StageLOW BUY FURIA @ 66¢ $16.1k66% gmanas248d agocalled
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-17?LOW BUY No @ 57¢ $16.1k57% swisstony PROVEN248d agomissed
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Vitality (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group StageLOW BUY Vitality @ 67¢ $15.4k67% UnfortunateSon250d agocalled
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-21?LOW BUY Yes @ 65¢ $15.2k65% 20IQ244d agocalled
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-17?LOW BUY Yes @ 64¢ $14.7k64% GetaLife252d agocalled
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-21?LOW BUY Yes @ 68¢ $13.7k68% 0x3328…e6b8249d agocalled
Bitcoin Up or Down on February 17?LOW BUY Up @ 73¢ $13.6k73% 0xa420…5a98249d agomissed
Will Finland win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?LOW BUY No @ 93¢ $13.1k93% 0x168a…da29255d agocalled
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-17?LOW BUY No @ 57¢ $12.8k57% batya1248d agomissed
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-22?LOW BUY Yes @ 67¢ $12.5k67% p1252243d agocalled
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-17?LOW BUY No @ 55¢ $12.2k55% 05143249d agomissed
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-21?LOW BUY Yes @ 69¢ $12.1k69% elkmonkey249d agocalled
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-17?LOW BUY No @ 55¢ $12.1k55% TheOnlyHuman248d agomissed
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-21?LOW BUY Yes @ 54¢ $11.5k54% XVFlow246d agomissed
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-17?LOW BUY No @ 56¢ $11.2k56% 0x24a5…5d07248d agomissed
LoL: Gen.G vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - LCK Cup PlayoffsLOW BUY Gen.G @ 87¢ $11.0k87% umniybet245d agocalled
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group StageLOW BUY FURIA @ 67¢ $10.8k67% Sickasulu248d agocalled
Raptors vs. BullsLOW BUY Raptors @ 67¢ $10.7k67% DefNotJonasTheWolf246d agocalled

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