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What this means. A wallet put $49.6k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 45% chance. It won. This wallet has only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$49.6k
BUY Yes @ 45¢ · 110,299 shares
Size ≥ $10k2× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet jinsanity took Yes (buy) for $49.6k at an average 45¢. At that price the market implied a 45% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $49.6k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 45¢ means
45%chance the market gave
+122American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 45¢
- Implied odds
- 45.0%
- As American odds
- +122 no vig
- Size
- $49.6k
- Placed
- Feb 17, 11:57 EST
- Market close
- Feb 17, 15:00 EST
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- jinsanity
- Tx
- 0x1d719bbc…
This wallet's graded record
3/3+24.5 pts
expected 2.3 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +55 ptsYes price · entry 45¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-17? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $16.2k | excluded |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-17? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $63.8k 4.1× usual |
excluded |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-17? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $80.1k 2.5× usual |
excluded |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-17? | LOW BUY Yes @ 93¢ | $30.5k | excluded |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-17? | LOW BUY Yes @ 72¢ | $11.9k | excluded |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-17? | LOW BUY Yes @ 72¢ | $14.6k | excluded |