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Fadepix

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me
What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$413.5k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$282.1k
Last 30 days −$5,156 · $7.39M volume · 648 trades · since Jan 07, 19:00 EST

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API
Realized P&L
−$337.5k
Open P&L · 9 positions
−$6,470
Closed-position win rate
39%
269 closed
Wallet age · markets
290d
341 markets traded

History

MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWhenResult
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-21?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $14.7k0% 244d agoexcluded
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-17?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $80.1k
2.5× usual
0% 248d agoexcluded
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-17?LOW BUY Yes @ 46¢ $26.7k46% 248d agocalled
Spurs vs. WarriorsLOW SELL Spurs @ 99.9¢ $46.2k0% 254d agoexcluded
Spurs vs. WarriorsLOW BUY Spurs @ 67¢ $31.0k67% 254d agoexcluded
Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)LOW SELL Seahawks @ 99.9¢ $32.1k0% 257d agoexcluded
Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)LOW BUY Seahawks @ 51¢ $16.4k51% 257d agoexcluded
76ers vs. ClippersLOW SELL 76ers @ 99.9¢ $11.5k0% 263d agoexcluded
Rams vs. SeahawksLOW SELL Seahawks @ 99.9¢ $62.2k0% 271d agoexcluded
Rams vs. SeahawksLOW BUY Seahawks @ 56¢ $34.9k56% 271d agoexcluded
Patriots vs. BroncosLOW SELL Patriots @ 99.9¢ $34.9k0% 271d agoexcluded
Patriots vs. BroncosLOW BUY Patriots @ 65¢ $22.8k65% 271d agoexcluded
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-21?excluded
SELL Yes @ 99.9¢$14.7k
LOW Fadepix · 244d ago
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-17?excluded
SELL Yes @ 99.9¢$80.1k
LOW Fadepix · 248d ago
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-17?called
BUY Yes @ 46¢$26.7k
LOW Fadepix · 248d ago
Spurs vs. Warriorsexcluded
SELL Spurs @ 99.9¢$46.2k
LOW Fadepix · 254d ago
Spurs vs. Warriorsexcluded
BUY Spurs @ 67¢$31.0k
LOW Fadepix · 254d ago
Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)excluded
SELL Seahawks @ 99.9¢$32.1k
LOW Fadepix · 257d ago
Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)excluded
BUY Seahawks @ 51¢$16.4k
LOW Fadepix · 257d ago
76ers vs. Clippersexcluded
SELL 76ers @ 99.9¢$11.5k
LOW Fadepix · 263d ago
Rams vs. Seahawksexcluded
SELL Seahawks @ 99.9¢$62.2k
LOW Fadepix · 271d ago
Rams vs. Seahawksexcluded
BUY Seahawks @ 56¢$34.9k
LOW Fadepix · 271d ago
Patriots vs. Broncosexcluded
SELL Patriots @ 99.9¢$34.9k
LOW Fadepix · 271d ago
Patriots vs. Broncosexcluded
BUY Patriots @ 65¢$22.8k
LOW Fadepix · 271d ago

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