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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 2 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 1.0 wins, so it did +50.5 pts better than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
+50.5 pts
Called / graded
2/2
Expected from price
1.0
Flagged volume
$188.9k
Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±35.3 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$121.2k
Last 30 days +$0 · $4.41M volume · 1,615 trades · since Jan 24, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$617.0k
Open P&L · 47 positions
−$495.8k
Closed-position win rate
75%
56 closed
Wallet age · markets
273d
103 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 2 | 2 | 1.0 | +50.5 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW BUY Suns @ 51¢ | $14.7k | called | |
| LOW BUY Spurs @ 48¢ | $10.0k | called | |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $63.8k 4.1× usual |
excluded | |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 42¢ | $16.5k | excluded | |
| MED BUY Bulls @ 34¢ | $35.4k 2.3× usual |
excluded | |
| LOW BUY Hooker @ 23¢ | $22.6k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Jazz @ 27¢ | $14.9k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Rams @ 45¢ | $10.9k | excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x6d1076…