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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.5 wins, so it did -54.6 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
-54.6 pts
Called / graded
0/1
Expected from price
0.5
Flagged volume
$435.4k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±49.8 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$734.1k
Last 30 days +$0 · $9.92M volume · 864 trades · since Jan 27, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$1.13M
Open P&L · 140 positions
−$1.86M
Closed-position win rate
67%
193 closed
Wallet age · markets
270d
329 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 1 | 0 | 0.5 | -54.6 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-21? | MED BUY No @ 33¢ | $140.4k | excluded |
 Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-21? | LOW BUY Yes @ 55¢ | $43.6k | missed |
 Raptors vs. Bulls | LOW BUY Bulls @ 34¢ | $17.0k | excluded |
 Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-17? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $159.4k 2.1× usual |
excluded |
| Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-17? | LOW BUY Yes @ 47¢ | $75.0k | excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xc311bb…