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What this means. A wallet put $20.8k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 52% chance. It won. This wallet has no clear edge yet (-4.3 pts over 59 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$20.8k
BUY Yes @ 52¢ · 40,014 shares
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)Sports
What happened
Wallet elkmonkey took Yes (buy) for $20.8k at an average 52¢. At that price the market implied a 52% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $20.8k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 52¢ means
52%chance the market gave
−108American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 52¢
- Implied odds
- 52.0%
- As American odds
- −108 no vig
- Size
- $20.8k
- Placed
- Feb 15, 16:25 EST
- Market close
- Feb 17, 15:00 EST
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- elkmonkey
- Tx
- 0x080b4e2d…
This wallet's graded record
33/59-4.3 pts
expected 35.5 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +48 ptsYes price · entry 52¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-17? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $16.2k | excluded |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-17? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $63.8k 4.1× usual |
excluded |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-17? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $80.1k 2.5× usual |
excluded |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-17? | LOW BUY Yes @ 93¢ | $30.5k | excluded |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-17? | LOW BUY Yes @ 72¢ | $11.9k | excluded |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-17? | LOW BUY Yes @ 72¢ | $14.6k | excluded |