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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 2 of 3. The prices it paid implied about 1.7 wins, so it did +8.7 pts better than the market expected. That's only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
+8.7 pts
Called / graded
2/3
Expected from price
1.7
Flagged volume
$458.9k
Sample size3 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±28.2 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$48.8k
Last 30 days +$0 · $17.37M volume · 8,131 trades · since Jan 12, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$3.96M
Open P&L · 79 positions
−$1.28M
Closed-position win rate
87%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
285d
769 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 3 | 2 | 1.7 | +8.7 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Pistons vs. Timberwolves | LOW SELL Pistons @ 65¢ | $16.6k | excluded |
| Pistons vs. Timberwolves | LOW BUY Timberwolves @ 34¢ | $10.7k | excluded |
| Pistons vs. Timberwolves | LOW BUY Pistons @ 55¢ | $14.0k | excluded |
 Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-17? | LOW BUY Yes @ 42¢ | $16.8k | excluded |
| Clippers vs. Warriors | LOW BUY Clippers @ 52¢ | $20.0k | called |
 Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-01? | LOW BUY No @ 35¢ | $14.0k | excluded |
| Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-02-28? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $49.7k 2.4× usual |
excluded |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-28? | LOW BUY No @ 43¢ | $25.0k | excluded |
| Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-02-28? | LOW BUY No @ 45¢ | $21.0k | called |
| Spread: Hornets (-12.5) | MED BUY Hornets @ 49¢ | $53.0k 2.6× usual |
excluded |
| Timberwolves vs. Trail Blazers | LOW BUY Timberwolves @ 67¢ | $40.2k | excluded |
| Warriors vs. Pelicans | LOW BUY Pelicans @ 47¢ | $23.5k | excluded |
 Will FC Nantes win on 2026-02-22? | LOW BUY No @ 62¢ | $11.2k | excluded |
| Raptors vs. Bulls | MED BUY Raptors @ 67¢ | $38.2k | called |
| Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-17? | LOW BUY No @ 55¢ | $19.9k | missed |
| 76ers vs. Clippers | LOW BUY 76ers @ 51¢ | $40.0k | excluded |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-28? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $33.3k | excluded |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-28? | LOW BUY No @ 36¢ | $12.0k | excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x08c598…