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What this means. A wallet put $11.2k on No, at a price that gave it a 62% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will FC Nantes win on 2026-02-22?excluded
$11.2k
BUY No @ 62¢ · 18,089 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports

What happened

Wallet shan776 took No (buy) for $11.2k at an average 62¢. At that price the market implied a 62% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $11.2k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 62¢ means
62%chance the market gave
−163American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
62¢
Implied odds
62.0%
As American odds
−163 no vig
Size
$11.2k
Placed
Feb 22, 10:54 EST
Market close
Feb 22, 11:15 EST
Result
Yes
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
shan776
Tx
0x2b3c5013…
This wallet's graded record
2/3+8.7 pts
expected 1.7 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade -62 pts
No price · entry 62¢ · resolved Yes
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 62¢ · $11.2k WHALE $11.2K @ 62¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Will FC Nantes win on 2026-02-22?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $12.8k0% 0xa56b…d536244d agoexcluded
Will FC Nantes win on 2026-02-22?HIGH BUY Yes @ 42¢ $296.5k42% MirrorOfTheWorld244d agoexcluded
Will FC Nantes win on 2026-02-22?MED BUY No @ 60¢ $62.3k
2.3× usual
60% swisstony PROVEN244d agoexcluded
Will FC Nantes win on 2026-02-22?MED BUY No @ 62¢ $32.3k62% Sensei2244d agoexcluded