← Wallets
−$23Yes · avg 61¢ → 32¢ · $27
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.7 wins, so it did -73.3 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
-73.3 pts
Called / graded
0/1
Expected from price
0.7
Flagged volume
$13.6k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±44.2 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$50.0k
Last 30 days −$13 · $168.1k volume · 47 trades · since Feb 16, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
−$49.9k
Open P&L · 2 positions
−$73
Closed-position win rate
31%
13 closed
Wallet age · markets
250d
13 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crypto | 1 | 0 | 0.7 | -73.3 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Bitcoin Up or Down on February 17? | LOW BUY Up @ 73¢ | $13.6k | missed |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xa42032…