← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $13.6k on Up, at a price that gave it a 73% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$13.6k
BUY Up @ 73¢ · 18,560 shares
Size ≥ $10kCrypto
What happened
Wallet 0xa420…5a98 took Up (buy) for $13.6k at an average 73¢. At that price the market implied a 73% chance for that side. The market resolved Down, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $13.6k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 73¢ means
73%chance the market gave
−274American odds
$1.00paid per share if Up wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 73¢
- Implied odds
- 73.3%
- Size
- $13.6k
- Placed
- Feb 16, 18:10 EST
- Market close
- Feb 17, 12:00 EST
- Result
- Down
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 0xa420…5a98
- Tx
- 0x7769fdac…
This wallet's graded record
0/1-73.3 pts
expected 0.7 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -73 ptsUp price · entry 73¢ · resolved Down
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.