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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 1.4 wins, so it did -18.0 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
-18.0 pts
Called / graded
1/2
Expected from price
1.4
Flagged volume
$45.0k
Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±32.1 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$166.1k
Last 30 days +$0 · $8.78M volume · 8,463 trades · since Feb 16, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$1.62M
Open P&L · 246 positions
−$1.45M
Closed-position win rate
89%
362 closed
Wallet age · markets
251d
599 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 2 | 1 | 1.4 | -18.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 LoL: Dplus KIA vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 | LOW BUY Dplus KIA @ 79¢ | $19.7k | called |
 Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-17? | LOW BUY No @ 56¢ | $12.5k | excluded |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-17? | LOW BUY No @ 57¢ | $12.8k | missed |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x618534…