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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.6 wins, so it did -55.0 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
-55.0 pts
Called / graded
0/1
Expected from price
0.6
Flagged volume
$121.7k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±49.7 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$62.8k
Last 30 days +$0 · $2.13M volume · 2,788 trades · since Jan 25, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$480.5k
Open P&L · 29 positions
−$543.2k
Closed-position win rate
95%
19 closed
Wallet age · markets
272d
48 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 1 | 0 | 0.6 | -55.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-17? | LOW BUY No @ 55¢ | $20.9k | missed |
 76ers vs. Clippers | LOW BUY Clippers @ 49¢ | $76.3k 3.1× usual |
excluded |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-28? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $24.5k | excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xa5aa9e…