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What this means. A wallet put $20.9k on No, at a price that gave it a 55% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$20.9k
BUY No @ 55¢ · 37,912 shares
Size ≥ $10kSports
What happened
Wallet 0xa5aa…1449 took No (buy) for $20.9k at an average 55¢. At that price the market implied a 55% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $20.9k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 55¢ means
55%chance the market gave
−122American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 55¢
- Implied odds
- 55.0%
- As American odds
- −122 no vig
- Size
- $20.9k
- Placed
- Feb 17, 02:36 EST
- Market close
- Feb 17, 15:00 EST
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 0xa5aa…1449
- Tx
- 0x76db09ff…
This wallet's graded record
0/1-55.0 pts
expected 0.6 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -55 ptsNo price · entry 55¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-17? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $10.7k | excluded |
| Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-17? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $159.4k 2.1× usual |
excluded |
| Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-17? | MED BUY Yes @ 48¢ | $37.6k | excluded |
| Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-17? | LOW BUY Yes @ 49¢ | $29.4k | excluded |
| Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-17? | LOW BUY No @ 52¢ | $11.9k | excluded |
| Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-17? | HIGH BUY No @ 52¢ | $263.2k 9.9× usual |
excluded |