← Wallets
+$318Yes · avg 5.2¢ → 6¢ · $2,355
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 1.1 wins, so it did -2.6 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
-2.6 pts
Called / graded
1/2
Expected from price
1.1
Flagged volume
$181.0k
Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±33.7 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$1.02M
Last 30 days −$1,047 · $7.33M volume · 8,780 trades · since Feb 09, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$2.22M
Open P&L · 32 positions
−$1.20M
Closed-position win rate
100%
39 closed
Wallet age · markets
621d
72 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 2 | 1 | 1.1 | -2.6 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25? | LOW BUY No @ 44¢ | $21.5k | excluded |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25? | LOW BUY No @ 38¢ | $34.0k | missed |
 Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-21? | MED BUY Yes @ 67¢ | $125.5k 3.7× usual |
called |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x916f71…