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What this means. A wallet put $34.0k on No, at a price that gave it a 38% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$34.0k
BUY No @ 38¢ · 89,660 shares
Size ≥ $10kSports
What happened
Wallet WoofMaster took No (buy) for $34.0k at an average 38¢. At that price the market implied a 38% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $34.0k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 38¢ means
38%chance the market gave
+164American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 38¢
- Implied odds
- 37.9%
- As American odds
- +164 no vig
- Size
- $34.0k
- Placed
- Feb 24, 17:18 EST
- Market close
- Feb 25, 15:00 EST
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- WoofMaster
- Tx
- 0x52cd00af…
This wallet's graded record
1/2-2.6 pts
expected 1.1 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -38 ptsNo price · entry 38¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $10.7k | excluded |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $10.2k | excluded |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $11.0k | excluded |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25? | MED BUY Yes @ 81¢ | $34.4k | excluded |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25? | LOW SELL Yes @ 77¢ | $14.2k | excluded |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25? | MED BUY Yes @ 46¢ | $75.5k | excluded |