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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 1.0 wins, so it did -50.0 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
-50.0 pts
Called / graded
0/2
Expected from price
1.0
Flagged volume
$917.3k
Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±35.1 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$1.86M
Last 30 days +$0 · $17.52M volume · 2,817 trades · since Oct 23, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$1.79M
Open P&L · 43 positions
−$3.60M
Closed-position win rate
95%
44 closed
Wallet age · markets
366d
86 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 2 | 0 | 1.0 | -50.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW BUY Bucks @ 44¢ | $84.6k | missed | |
| LOW SELL Timberwolves @ 99.9¢ | $199.8k 2.7× usual |
excluded | |
| LOW BUY Timberwolves @ 44¢ | $54.6k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY NIP @ 56¢ | $16.1k | missed | |
| LOW SELL Heat @ 99.9¢ | $156.1k 2.1× usual |
excluded | |
| LOW BUY Heat @ 44¢ | $30.3k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Nuggets @ 99.9¢ | $151.1k 2.0× usual |
excluded | |
| LOW BUY Nuggets @ 49¢ | $74.1k | excluded | |
| MED BUY Yes @ 46¢ | $75.5k | excluded | |
| MED BUY Gen.G @ 89¢ | $75.2k | excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x8dbf0d…