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0x8dbf…53be

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 1.0 wins, so it did -50.0 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
-50.0 pts
Called / graded
0/2
Expected from price
1.0
Flagged volume
$917.3k
Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±35.1 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$1.86M
Last 30 days +$0 · $17.52M volume · 2,817 trades · since Oct 23, 20:00 EDT

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API
Realized P&L
+$1.79M
Open P&L · 43 positions
−$3.60M
Closed-position win rate
95%
44 closed
Wallet age · markets
366d
86 markets traded

By category

CategoryGradedCalledExpectedEdge
Sports201.0-50.0 pts

History

MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Celtics vs. BucksLOW BUY Bucks @ 44¢ $84.6k44% 236d agomissed
Timberwolves vs. NuggetsLOW SELL Timberwolves @ 99.9¢ $199.8k
2.7× usual
0% 237d agoexcluded
Timberwolves vs. NuggetsLOW BUY Timberwolves @ 44¢ $54.6k44% 237d agoexcluded
Counter-Strike: NIP vs Legacy (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1LOW BUY NIP @ 56¢ $16.1k56% 237d agomissed
Rockets vs. HeatLOW SELL Heat @ 99.9¢ $156.1k
2.1× usual
0% 238d agoexcluded
Rockets vs. HeatLOW BUY Heat @ 44¢ $30.3k44% 238d agoexcluded
Spread: Nuggets (-3.5)LOW SELL Nuggets @ 99.9¢ $151.1k
2.0× usual
0% 240d agoexcluded
Spread: Nuggets (-3.5)LOW BUY Nuggets @ 49¢ $74.1k49% 240d agoexcluded
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25?MED BUY Yes @ 46¢ $75.5k46% 241d agoexcluded
LoL: Gen.G vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - LCK Cup PlayoffsMED BUY Gen.G @ 89¢ $75.2k89% 245d agoexcluded

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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x8dbf0d…