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What this means. A wallet put $50.0k on Alcaraz, at a price that gave it a 87% chance. It won. This wallet has only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$50.0k
BUY Alcaraz @ 87¢ · 57,181 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favorite2 fills in 1h2× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet jinsanity took Alcaraz (buy) for $50.0k at an average 87¢. At that price the market implied a 87% chance for that side. The market resolved Alcaraz, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $50.0k+1
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 87¢ means
87%chance the market gave
−692American odds
$1.00paid per share if Alcaraz wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 87¢
- Implied odds
- 87.4%
- As American odds
- −692 no vig
- Size
- $50.0k
- Placed
- Feb 21, 08:47 EST
- Market close
- Feb 21, 13:00 EST
- Result
- Alcaraz
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- jinsanity
- Tx
- 0x9d83258a…
This wallet's graded record
3/3+24.5 pts
expected 2.3 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +13 ptsAlcaraz price · entry 87¢ · resolved Alcaraz
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Qatar Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Arthur Fils | LOW SELL Alcaraz @ 99.9¢ | $11.9k | excluded |
| Qatar Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Arthur Fils | LOW BUY Alcaraz @ 99¢ | $11.8k | excluded |
| Qatar Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Arthur Fils | LOW BUY Alcaraz @ 87¢ | $21.9k | excluded |
| Qatar Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Arthur Fils | LOW BUY Alcaraz @ 87¢ | $15.0k | excluded |
| Qatar Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Arthur Fils | LOW BUY Alcaraz @ 86¢ | $14.3k | excluded |