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What this means. A wallet put $15.0k on Alcaraz, at a price that gave it a 87% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Qatar Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Arthur Filsexcluded
$15.0k
BUY Alcaraz @ 87¢ · 17,241 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteLate (<1h before start)Sports

What happened

Wallet aleksandmoney took Alcaraz (buy) for $15.0k at an average 87¢. At that price the market implied a 87% chance for that side. The market resolved Alcaraz. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $15.0k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 87¢ means
87%chance the market gave
−669American odds
$1.00paid per share if Alcaraz wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
87¢
Implied odds
87.0%
As American odds
−669 no vig
Size
$15.0k
Placed
Feb 21, 12:10 EST
Market close
Feb 21, 13:00 EST
Result
Alcaraz
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
aleksandmoney
Tx
0xb99ec8f0…
This wallet's graded record
2/2+27.9 pts
expected 1.4 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade +13 pts
Alcaraz price · entry 87¢ · resolved Alcaraz
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 87¢ · $15.0k WHALE $15.0K @ 87¢ CALLED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Qatar Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Arthur FilsLOW SELL Alcaraz @ 99.9¢ $11.9k0% gorovi245d agoexcluded
Qatar Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Arthur FilsLOW BUY Alcaraz @ 99¢ $11.8k99% gorovi245d agoexcluded
Qatar Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Arthur FilsLOW BUY Alcaraz @ 87¢ $21.9k87% 08AF245d agoexcluded
Qatar Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Arthur FilsLOW BUY Alcaraz @ 86¢ $14.3k86% joosangyoo245d agoexcluded
Qatar Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Arthur FilsMED BUY Alcaraz @ 87¢ $50.0k
2.0× usual
87% jinsanity245d agocalled