Weekly report card

Week 2026-32

Aug 03, 00:00 EDT – Aug 09, 23:59 EDT · markets that resolved this week

← 2026-31 2026-33 →

Price-adjusted edge

-23.8 pts

Called

15/38

Expected from price

24.1

Std. error

±7.2

In week 2026-32, 38 graded flags resolved. The flagged side won 15 times; entry prices implied 24.1. Whales did no better than the price (-23.8 pts). One week is a small sample.

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	Wallet	When	Result
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Jessica Pegula vs Alexandra Eala	MED BUY Jessica Pegula @ 61¢	$184.4k	61%	beachboy4	82d ago	missed
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Jessica Pegula vs Alexandra Eala	MED BUY Jessica Pegula @ 63¢	$162.4k	63%	beachboy4	82d ago	missed
Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle Mariners	LOW BUY Detroit Tigers @ 41¢	$66.5k 3.0× usual	41%	Pwaddler	79d ago	missed
Dota 2: 1win vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffs	MED BUY BetBoom Team @ 54¢	$61.0k 3.0× usual	54%	0xe16d…5e30	80d ago	missed
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Jessica Pegula vs Alexandra Eala	MED BUY Alexandra Eala @ 37¢	$42.2k	37%	ferrariChampions2026	82d ago	called
Los Angeles Angels vs. Baltimore Orioles	MED BUY Baltimore Orioles @ 65¢	$32.5k	65%	AV23IUa PROVEN	78d ago	missed
Dota 2: 1win vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffs	LOW BUY BetBoom Team @ 50¢	$29.0k	50%	acorp	80d ago	missed
Dota 2: 1win vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffs	LOW BUY BetBoom Team @ 50¢	$28.2k	50%	RiskIsForLosers	80d ago	missed
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Jessica Pegula vs Alexandra Eala	LOW BUY Alexandra Eala @ 40¢	$28.0k	40%	0x2c33…0563	82d ago	called
LoL: T1 vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group	MED BUY T1 @ 53¢	$28.0k	53%	suntori LOSING	77d ago	missed
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago Cubs	LOW BUY Los Angeles Dodgers @ 66¢	$27.7k	66%	phonesculptor	80d ago	missed
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?	LOW BUY Yes @ 96.8¢	$25.0k	97%	Chelseaone	78d ago	called
Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?	LOW BUY Yes @ 86¢	$24.9k	86%	tourists	81d ago	called
National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Gabriel Diallo	LOW BUY Gabriel Diallo @ 61¢	$20.8k	61%	AV23IUa PROVEN	80d ago	missed
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Jessica Pegula vs Alexandra Eala	LOW BUY Alexandra Eala @ 41¢	$20.2k	41%	CORGII	82d ago	called
LoL: T1 vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group	LOW BUY T1 @ 53¢	$20.0k	53%	Prelode	77d ago	missed
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?	LOW BUY No @ 92.6¢	$20.0k	93%	mrwhite700	77d ago	called
Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?	LOW BUY Yes @ 85¢	$19.2k	85%	coali10	83d ago	called
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?	LOW BUY Yes @ 90¢	$18.3k	90%	odsowner	81d ago	called
Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?	LOW BUY Yes @ 85¢	$17.0k	85%	flawfence	83d ago	called
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago Cubs	LOW BUY Los Angeles Dodgers @ 65¢	$16.2k	65%	Feromont	80d ago	missed
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group	LOW BUY Hanwha Life Esports @ 53¢	$15.9k	53%	thecomplicatedguy	80d ago	missed
National Bank Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Leylah Fernandez	LOW BUY Mirra Andreeva @ 80¢	$15.0k	80%	Marcoli	77d ago	missed
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Jessica Pegula vs Alexandra Eala	LOW BUY Jessica Pegula @ 81¢	$13.6k	81%	fRibrenlc	82d ago	missed
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?	LOW BUY No @ 77¢	$13.4k	77%	tourists	78d ago	called
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group	LOW BUY Hanwha Life Esports @ 52¢	$13.0k	52%	Boned	80d ago	missed
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?	LOW BUY No @ 89¢	$12.5k	89%	Obey2162	78d ago	called
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?	LOW BUY Yes @ 96¢	$11.6k	96%	makinta	79d ago	called
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago Cubs	LOW BUY Los Angeles Dodgers @ 65¢	$11.4k	65%	monkeymashingkeyboard	80d ago	missed
Dota 2: 1win vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffs	LOW BUY BetBoom Team @ 52¢	$11.4k	52%	ATPlegend	80d ago	missed
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?	LOW SELL No @ 81¢	$11.3k	19%	anon.1980.123	78d ago	missed
LoL: T1 vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group	MED BUY Hanwha Life Esports @ 48¢	$11.1k	48%	kllkdfs NEW	77d ago	called
LoL: T1 vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group	LOW BUY T1 @ 46¢	$11.0k	46%	0x8d83…d89c	77d ago	missed
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	LOW BUY Yes @ 83¢	$10.7k	83%	ProfessionalPunter	94d ago	called
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Jessica Pegula vs Alexandra Eala	LOW BUY Jessica Pegula @ 60¢	$10.6k	60%	SineNooneEI	83d ago	missed
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?	LOW BUY No @ 69¢	$10.4k	69%	denizz LOSING	79d ago	called
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?	LOW BUY Yes @ 50¢	$10.2k	50%	Wickier	80d ago	missed
Dota 2: 1win vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffs	LOW BUY BetBoom Team @ 50¢	$10.0k	50%	BaseballBill	80d ago	missed

Category	Graded	Called	Expected	Edge
Sports	25	4	13.9	-39.5 pts
Other	13	11	10.2	+6.2 pts

Week 2026-32

By category

Best calls (lowest implied odds that won)

Biggest misses

Every graded flag

The graded brief, free