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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 1.0 wins, so it did +1.1 pts better than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
+1.1 pts
Called / graded
1/2
Expected from price
1.0
Flagged volume
$90.6k
Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±27.1 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$149.3k
Last 30 days −$213.6k · $39.33M volume · 37,225 trades · since Aug 05, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$4.39M
Open P&L · 0 positions
+$0
Closed-position win rate
100%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
810d
1696 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 2 | 1 | 1.0 | +1.1 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW BUY Alexander Blockx @ 37¢ | $12.3k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Harry Wendelken @ 33¢ | $11.0k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY No @ 73¢ | $24.7k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Arthur Fils @ 62¢ | $14.0k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Jessica Pegula @ 81¢ | $13.6k | missed | |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 17¢ | $15.0k | called |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x6f3e7f…