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What this means. A wallet put $17.0k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 85% chance. It won. This wallet has only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$17.0k
BUY Yes @ 85¢ · 20,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet flawfence took Yes (buy) for $17.0k at an average 85¢. At that price the market implied a 85% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $17.0k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 85¢ means
85%chance the market gave
−567American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 85¢
- Implied odds
- 85.0%
- Size
- $17.0k
- Placed
- Aug 01, 09:20 EDT
- Market close
- Aug 03, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- flawfence
- Tx
- 0x64e7fe44…
This wallet's graded record
3/3+23.7 pts
expected 2.3 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +15 ptsYes price · entry 85¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? | LOW SELL Yes @ 84¢ | $12.6k | excluded |
| Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? | LOW BUY Yes @ 98¢ | $49.2k | excluded |
| Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? | LOW BUY Yes @ 87¢ | $21.8k | excluded |
| Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? | LOW BUY Yes @ 86¢ | $24.9k | called |
| Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? | LOW BUY Yes @ 85¢ | $19.2k | called |