What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 3. The prices it paid implied about 2.0 wins, so it did -31.9 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice.How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
-31.9 pts
Called / graded
1/3
Expected from price
2.0
Flagged volume
$342.8k
Sample size3 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±27.1 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$571.7k
Last 30 days +$115.6k · $33.56M volume · 18,514 trades · since Feb 03, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
