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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.5 wins, so it did -52.0 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
-52.0 pts
Called / graded
0/1
Expected from price
0.5
Flagged volume
$22.2k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±50.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$11.9k
Last 30 days +$0 · $1.43M volume · 1,345 trades · since Jul 29, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$1,188
Open P&L · 0 positions
+$0
Closed-position win rate
57%
123 closed
Wallet age · markets
87d
121 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 1 | 0 | 0.5 | -52.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO5) - 1win Essence Playoffs | LOW BUY Team Falcons @ 65¢ | $10.7k | excluded |
| Dota 2: 1win vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffs | LOW BUY BetBoom Team @ 52¢ | $11.4k | missed |
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<a href="https://whalegrader.com/wallet/0xfcdc6b16891b97394523590866aa1350cff74281"><img src="https://whalegrader.com/badge/wallet/0xfcdc6b16891b97394523590866aa1350cff74281.svg" alt="WhaleGrader record"></a>
JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xfcdc6b…