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What this means. A wallet put $15.0k on Mirra Andreeva, at a price that gave it a 80% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 5 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$15.0k
BUY Mirra Andreeva @ 80¢ · 18,798 shares
Size ≥ $10kSports
What happened
Wallet Marcoli took Mirra Andreeva (buy) for $15.0k at an average 80¢. At that price the market implied a 80% chance for that side. The market resolved Leylah Fernandez, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $15.0k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 80¢ means
80%chance the market gave
−395American odds
$1.00paid per share if Mirra Andreeva wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 80¢
- Implied odds
- 79.8%
- As American odds
- −395 no vig
- Size
- $15.0k
- Placed
- Aug 07, 08:53 EDT
- Market close
- Aug 07, 14:25 EDT
- Result
- Leylah Fernandez
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- Marcoli
- Tx
- 0xbf0aade7…
This wallet's graded record
2/5-13.2 pts
expected 2.7 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -80 ptsMirra Andreeva price · entry 80¢ · resolved Leylah Fernandez
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL Leylah Fernandez @ 99.9¢ | $12.9k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Leylah Fernandez @ 98.4¢ | $39.7k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Leylah Fernandez @ 91¢ | $12.0k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Mirra Andreeva @ 43¢ | $10.3k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Mirra Andreeva @ 56¢ | $30.0k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Mirra Andreeva @ 80¢ | $40.0k 2.0× usual |
excluded |