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What this means. A wallet put $40.0k on Mirra Andreeva, at a price that gave it a 80% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 5 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
National Bank Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Leylah Fernandezexcluded
$40.0k
BUY Mirra Andreeva @ 80¢ · 50,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)2× this wallet's usual betSports

What happened

Wallet Marcoli took Mirra Andreeva (buy) for $40.0k at an average 80¢. At that price the market implied a 80% chance for that side. The market resolved Leylah Fernandez. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $40.0k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 80¢ means
80%chance the market gave
−400American odds
$1.00paid per share if Mirra Andreeva wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
80¢
Implied odds
80.0%
As American odds
−400 no vig
Size
$40.0k
Placed
Aug 07, 13:40 EDT
Market close
Aug 07, 14:25 EDT
Result
Leylah Fernandez
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
Marcoli
Tx
0x04ac3b2f…
This wallet's graded record
2/5-13.2 pts
expected 2.7 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade -80 pts
Mirra Andreeva price · entry 80¢ · resolved Leylah Fernandez
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 80¢ · $40.0k WHALE $40.0K @ 80¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
National Bank Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Leylah FernandezLOW SELL Leylah Fernandez @ 99.9¢ $12.9k0% danielwolfmorales3pddb6d77d agoexcluded
National Bank Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Leylah FernandezLOW BUY Leylah Fernandez @ 98.4¢ $39.7k98% 0x9bb1…4dbe77d agoexcluded
National Bank Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Leylah FernandezLOW BUY Leylah Fernandez @ 91¢ $12.0k91% 0x2c33…056377d agoexcluded
National Bank Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Leylah FernandezLOW SELL Mirra Andreeva @ 43¢ $10.3k57% angelat077d agoexcluded
National Bank Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Leylah FernandezLOW BUY Mirra Andreeva @ 56¢ $30.0k56% 0x5f65…203677d agoexcluded
National Bank Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Leylah FernandezLOW BUY Mirra Andreeva @ 80¢ $15.0k80% Marcoli78d agomissed