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What this means. A wallet put $12.5k on No, at a price that gave it a 89% chance. It won. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$12.5k
BUY No @ 89¢ · 14,065 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteOther
What happened
Wallet Obey2162 took No (buy) for $12.5k at an average 89¢. At that price the market implied a 89% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $12.5k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 89¢ means
89%chance the market gave
−784American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 89¢
- Implied odds
- 88.7%
- Size
- $12.5k
- Placed
- Aug 07, 04:49 EDT
- Market close
- Aug 07, 23:59 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- Obey2162
- Tx
- 0x952be33f…
This wallet's graded record
2/2+8.8 pts
expected 1.8 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +11 ptsNo price · entry 89¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99¢ | $10.6k | excluded |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 92.6¢ | $20.0k | called |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 81¢ | $11.3k | missed |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 77¢ | $13.4k | called |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 69¢ | $10.4k | called |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? | LOW BUY Yes @ 50¢ | $10.2k | missed |