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BaseballBill

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.5 wins, so it did -50.0 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
-50.0 pts
Called / graded
0/1
Expected from price
0.5
Flagged volume
$10.0k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±50.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$23.2k
Last 30 days +$0 · $15.54M volume · 20,029 trades · since Jun 12, 20:00 EDT

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API
Realized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$1.85M
Open P&L · 0 positions
+$0
Closed-position win rate
88%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
134d
959 markets traded

By category

CategoryGradedCalledExpectedEdge
Sports100.5-50.0 pts

History

MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWhenResult
Dota 2: 1win vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - 1win Essence PlayoffsLOW BUY BetBoom Team @ 50¢ $10.0k50% 80d agomissed

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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xb27250…