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0xe16d…5e30

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 3. The prices it paid implied about 1.6 wins, so it did -54.3 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
-54.3 pts
Called / graded
0/3
Expected from price
1.6
Flagged volume
$1.15M
Sample size3 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±28.8 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$1.02M
Last 30 days −$76.8k · $79.31M volume · 25,471 trades · since Apr 17, 20:00 EDT

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API
Realized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$15.20M
Open P&L · 500 positions
−$16.39M
Closed-position win rate
100%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
191d
1726 markets traded

By category

CategoryGradedCalledExpectedEdge
Sports301.6-54.3 pts

History

MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Dawn Bulls - Game 1 WinnerLOW SELL Yellow Submarine @ 99.9¢ $44.9k
2.2× usual
0% 10h agoexcluded
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs OG - Game 1 WinnerLOW BUY Team Yandex @ 80¢ $10.0k80% 16h agoexcluded
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs 1win (BO3) - PARI Universe Group ALOW SELL Team Liquid @ 99.9¢ $13.2k0% 2d agoexcluded
Dota 2: salamit vs HULIGANI - Game 1 WinnerLOW SELL HULIGANI @ 99.9¢ $17.3k0% 3d agoexcluded
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs GamerLegion - Game 1 WinnerLOW BUY GamerLegion @ 50¢ $10.0k50% 28d agoexcluded
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Conventus Stellarum - Game 2 WinnerLOW BUY Conventus Stellarum @ 65¢ $20.0k65% 31d agoexcluded
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION - Game 1 WinnerLOW BUY TEAM VISION @ 61¢ $15.0k61% 64d agoexcluded
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 2 WinnerLOW BUY Team Falcons @ 49¢ $26.0k49% 64d agoexcluded
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International PlayoffsLOW BUY Team Falcons @ 47¢ $14.0k47% 64d agoexcluded
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 1 WinnerLOW BUY Team Falcons @ 49¢ $11.0k49% 64d agoexcluded
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys - Game 1 WinnerLOW BUY Iron Wing @ 47¢ $15.0k47% 65d agoexcluded
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International PlayoffsLOW BUY Iron Wing @ 43¢ $20.0k43% 65d agoexcluded
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International PlayoffsLOW BUY Team Falcons @ 59¢ $49.0k
2.4× usual
59% 65d agoexcluded
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Yandex - Game 1 WinnerLOW BUY Team Liquid @ 55¢ $20.0k55% 65d agoexcluded
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Aurora - Game 2 WinnerLOW BUY Aurora @ 55¢ $15.0k55% 70d agoexcluded
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Team Falcons - Game 1 WinnerLOW SELL Team Falcons @ 99.9¢ $89.8k
4.5× usual
0% 70d agoexcluded
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Team Falcons - Game 1 WinnerLOW BUY Team Falcons @ 55¢ $12.0k55% 70d agoexcluded
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Group StageLOW BUY Iron Wing @ 46¢ $20.0k46% 70d agoexcluded
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Group StageLOW BUY Team Yandex @ 61¢ $30.0k61% 71d agoexcluded
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 WinnerLOW SELL Team Spirit @ 99.9¢ $168.8k
8.4× usual
0% 72d agoexcluded
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Group StageMED BUY TEAM VISION @ 58¢ $55.0k
2.7× usual
58% 72d agoexcluded
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 WinnerMED BUY Team Spirit @ 62¢ $40.0k62% 72d agoexcluded
Dota 2: 1win vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - 1win Essence PlayoffsMED BUY BetBoom Team @ 54¢ $61.0k
3.0× usual
54% 80d agomissed
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 WinnerMED BUY Team Yandex @ 52¢ $40.0k52% 139d agoexcluded
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 WinnerLOW BUY Team Yandex @ 62¢ $25.0k62% 139d agoexcluded
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit (BO3) - DreamLeague PlayoffsLOW SELL PARIVISION @ 99.9¢ $27.4k0% 154d agoexcluded
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit (BO3) - DreamLeague PlayoffsLOW BUY PARIVISION @ 55¢ $30.0k55% 154d agoexcluded
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit (BO3) - DreamLeague PlayoffsLOW BUY PARIVISION @ 59¢ $20.0k59% 154d agoexcluded
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Liquid (BO3) - DreamLeague PlayoffsLOW SELL PARIVISION @ 99.9¢ $36.0k0% 158d agoexcluded
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Liquid (BO3) - DreamLeague PlayoffsLOW BUY PARIVISION @ 56¢ $40.0k56% 158d agoexcluded
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Aurora - Game 1 WinnerLOW SELL BetBoom Team @ 99.9¢ $20.5k0% 181d agoexcluded
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 WinnerLOW BUY BetBoom Team @ 54¢ $19.4k54% 183d agoexcluded
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 1 WinnerLOW SELL PARIVISION @ 99.9¢ $28.2k0% 183d agoexcluded
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora (BO3) - PGL Wallachia PlayoffsLOW BUY PARIVISION @ 53¢ $19.4k53% 183d agoexcluded
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group StageLOW BUY Xtreme Gaming @ 56¢ $16.6k56% 185d agomissed
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group StageLOW BUY Xtreme Gaming @ 53¢ $29.2k53% 185d agomissed
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group StageLOW BUY Natus Vincere @ 46¢ $19.4k46% 186d agoexcluded
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Dawn Bulls - Game 1 Winnerexcluded
SELL Yellow Submarine @ 99.9¢$44.9k
LOW 0xe16d…5e30 · 10h ago
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs OG - Game 1 Winnerexcluded
BUY Team Yandex @ 80¢$10.0k
LOW 0xe16d…5e30 · 16h ago
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs 1win (BO3) - PARI Universe Group Aexcluded
SELL Team Liquid @ 99.9¢$13.2k
LOW 0xe16d…5e30 · 2d ago
Dota 2: salamit vs HULIGANI - Game 1 Winnerexcluded
SELL HULIGANI @ 99.9¢$17.3k
LOW 0xe16d…5e30 · 3d ago
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winnerexcluded
BUY GamerLegion @ 50¢$10.0k
LOW 0xe16d…5e30 · 28d ago
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Conventus Stellarum - Game 2 Winnerexcluded
BUY Conventus Stellarum @ 65¢$20.0k
LOW 0xe16d…5e30 · 31d ago
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION - Game 1 Winnerexcluded
BUY TEAM VISION @ 61¢$15.0k
LOW 0xe16d…5e30 · 64d ago
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winnerexcluded
BUY Team Falcons @ 49¢$26.0k
LOW 0xe16d…5e30 · 64d ago
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffsexcluded
BUY Team Falcons @ 47¢$14.0k
LOW 0xe16d…5e30 · 64d ago
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winnerexcluded
BUY Team Falcons @ 49¢$11.0k
LOW 0xe16d…5e30 · 64d ago
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys - Game 1 Winnerexcluded
BUY Iron Wing @ 47¢$15.0k
LOW 0xe16d…5e30 · 65d ago
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffsexcluded
BUY Iron Wing @ 43¢$20.0k
LOW 0xe16d…5e30 · 65d ago
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffsexcluded
BUY Team Falcons @ 59¢$49.0k
LOW 0xe16d…5e30 · 65d ago
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winnerexcluded
BUY Team Liquid @ 55¢$20.0k
LOW 0xe16d…5e30 · 65d ago
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Aurora - Game 2 Winnerexcluded
BUY Aurora @ 55¢$15.0k
LOW 0xe16d…5e30 · 70d ago
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winnerexcluded
SELL Team Falcons @ 99.9¢$89.8k
LOW 0xe16d…5e30 · 70d ago
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winnerexcluded
BUY Team Falcons @ 55¢$12.0k
LOW 0xe16d…5e30 · 70d ago
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Group Stageexcluded
BUY Iron Wing @ 46¢$20.0k
LOW 0xe16d…5e30 · 70d ago
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Group Stageexcluded
BUY Team Yandex @ 61¢$30.0k
LOW 0xe16d…5e30 · 71d ago
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winnerexcluded
SELL Team Spirit @ 99.9¢$168.8k
LOW 0xe16d…5e30 · 72d ago
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Group Stageexcluded
BUY TEAM VISION @ 58¢$55.0k
MED 0xe16d…5e30 · 72d ago
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winnerexcluded
BUY Team Spirit @ 62¢$40.0k
MED 0xe16d…5e30 · 72d ago
Dota 2: 1win vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffsmissed
BUY BetBoom Team @ 54¢$61.0k
MED 0xe16d…5e30 · 80d ago
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winnerexcluded
BUY Team Yandex @ 52¢$40.0k
MED 0xe16d…5e30 · 139d ago
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerexcluded
BUY Team Yandex @ 62¢$25.0k
LOW 0xe16d…5e30 · 139d ago
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsexcluded
SELL PARIVISION @ 99.9¢$27.4k
LOW 0xe16d…5e30 · 154d ago
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsexcluded
BUY PARIVISION @ 55¢$30.0k
LOW 0xe16d…5e30 · 154d ago
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsexcluded
BUY PARIVISION @ 59¢$20.0k
LOW 0xe16d…5e30 · 154d ago
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Liquid (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsexcluded
SELL PARIVISION @ 99.9¢$36.0k
LOW 0xe16d…5e30 · 158d ago
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Liquid (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsexcluded
BUY PARIVISION @ 56¢$40.0k
LOW 0xe16d…5e30 · 158d ago
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Aurora - Game 1 Winnerexcluded
SELL BetBoom Team @ 99.9¢$20.5k
LOW 0xe16d…5e30 · 181d ago
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winnerexcluded
BUY BetBoom Team @ 54¢$19.4k
LOW 0xe16d…5e30 · 183d ago
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 1 Winnerexcluded
SELL PARIVISION @ 99.9¢$28.2k
LOW 0xe16d…5e30 · 183d ago
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsexcluded
BUY PARIVISION @ 53¢$19.4k
LOW 0xe16d…5e30 · 183d ago
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagemissed
BUY Xtreme Gaming @ 56¢$16.6k
LOW 0xe16d…5e30 · 185d ago
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagemissed
BUY Xtreme Gaming @ 53¢$29.2k
LOW 0xe16d…5e30 · 185d ago
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stageexcluded
BUY Natus Vincere @ 46¢$19.4k
LOW 0xe16d…5e30 · 186d ago

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