Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?
Who's on each side
Whale money on this market, split by track record. Proven wallets beat the price over 20+ graded bets; losing wallets clearly lost to it. Everyone else is unrated.
| Side | All whales | Proven | Losing |
|---|---|---|---|
| No | $559.7k 24 flags |
$26.6k 2 wallets |
none |
| Not No | $82.5k 5 flags |
none | none |
A proven wallet on a side is a reason to look closer, not a verdict. Records come from past bets; see how to use this. Information, not advice.
Flags on this market
| Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|
| LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $22.2k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.2¢ | $15.6k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.1¢ | $24.9k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 98.9¢ | $47.5k 2.7× usual |
excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99¢ | $29.8k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.3¢ | $11.2k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.3¢ | $19.9k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 98.9¢ | $29.5k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99¢ | $20.8k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 98.4¢ | $61.6k 2.1× usual |
excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 98¢ | $25.5k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 97.4¢ | $12.8k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 95.9¢ | $12.5k | missed |
| LOW BUY No @ 96.2¢ | $15.0k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 96.1¢ | $11.5k | called |
| LOW SELL No @ 95.8¢ | $10.8k | missed |
| LOW SELL No @ 96.5¢ | $15.2k | missed |
| LOW BUY No @ 96.1¢ | $10.1k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 95.9¢ | $13.2k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 94.1¢ | $11.6k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 93.9¢ | $17.1k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 93.7¢ | $18.6k | called |
| MED BUY No @ 93.9¢ | $32.3k 2.2× usual |
called |
| LOW BUY No @ 92.6¢ | $13.3k | called |
| LOW SELL No @ 92.3¢ | $18.6k | missed |
| LOW BUY No @ 92.5¢ | $18.6k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 92.1¢ | $11.6k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 92.4¢ | $23.4k | called |
| MED BUY No @ 92.6¢ | $67.7k 4.3× usual |
called |
Summary
WhaleGrader has logged 29 whale trades on this market totalling $642.2k from 19 wallets. The largest was $67.7k (buy No at 92.6¢). Most whale money ($559.7k) went to No. 24 of 29 graded flags here called the outcome. The biggest whale here, plumbis ($109.1k), has called 1 of 1 graded flags overall (+52.0 pts vs price).
Market data from Polymarket (will-count-binface-win-the-clacton-by-election-20260707211451133).