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What this means. A wallet put $15.6k on No, at a price that gave it a 99% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$15.6k
BUY No @ 99.2¢ · 15,764 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteLate (<1h before start)Politics
What happened
Wallet flawfence took No (buy) for $15.6k at an average 99.2¢. At that price the market implied a 99% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $15.6k+0
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 99¢ means
99%chance the market gave
−12321American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 99.2¢
- Implied odds
- 99.2%
- Size
- $15.6k
- Placed
- Aug 13, 13:53 EDT
- Market close
- Aug 13, 12:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- flawfence
- Tx
- 0xeacf3649…
This wallet's graded record
3/3+23.7 pts
expected 2.3 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $22.2k | excluded |
| Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? | LOW BUY No @ 99.1¢ | $24.9k | excluded |
| Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? | LOW BUY No @ 98.9¢ | $47.5k 2.7× usual |
excluded |
| Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? | LOW BUY No @ 99¢ | $29.8k | excluded |
| Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? | LOW BUY No @ 99.3¢ | $11.2k | excluded |
| Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? | LOW BUY No @ 99.3¢ | $19.9k | excluded |