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What this means. A wallet put $61.6k on No, at a price that gave it a 98% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 13 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$61.6k
BUY No @ 98.4¢ · 62,579 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)2.1× this wallet's usual betPolitics
What happened
Wallet Trump2028 took No (buy) for $61.6k at an average 98.4¢. At that price the market implied a 98% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $61.6k+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 98¢ means
98%chance the market gave
−5986American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 98.4¢
- Implied odds
- 98.4%
- Size
- $61.6k
- Placed
- Aug 02, 19:49 EDT
- Market close
- Aug 13, 12:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- Trump2028
- Tx
- 0x6e336c23…
This wallet's graded record
13/13+6.8 pts
expected 12.1 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +2 ptsNo price · entry 98.4¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $22.2k | excluded |
| Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? | LOW BUY No @ 99.2¢ | $15.6k | excluded |
| Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? | LOW BUY No @ 99.1¢ | $24.9k | excluded |
| Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? | LOW BUY No @ 98.9¢ | $47.5k 2.7× usual |
excluded |
| Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? | LOW BUY No @ 99¢ | $29.8k | excluded |
| Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? | LOW BUY No @ 99.3¢ | $11.2k | excluded |