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What this means. A wallet put $15.2k on not No, at a price that gave it a 4% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$15.2k
SELL No @ 96.5¢ · 15,746 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Politics
What happened
Wallet limetasx took No (sell) for $15.2k at an average 96.5¢. At that price the market implied a 4% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $15.2k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 96.5¢
- Implied odds
- 3.5%
- Size
- $15.2k
- Placed
- Jul 15, 07:56 EDT
- Market close
- Aug 13, 12:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- limetasx
- Tx
- 0xd2dcc16a…
This wallet's graded record
0/1-3.5 pts
expected 0.0 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $22.2k | excluded |
| Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? | LOW BUY No @ 99.2¢ | $15.6k | excluded |
| Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? | LOW BUY No @ 99.1¢ | $24.9k | excluded |
| Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? | LOW BUY No @ 98.9¢ | $47.5k 2.7× usual |
excluded |
| Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? | LOW BUY No @ 99¢ | $29.8k | excluded |
| Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? | LOW BUY No @ 99.3¢ | $11.2k | excluded |