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What this means. A wallet put $13.2k on No, at a price that gave it a 96% chance. It won. This wallet has only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$13.2k
BUY No @ 95.9¢ · 13,721 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)Politics
What happened
Wallet StudentMoney took No (buy) for $13.2k at an average 95.9¢. At that price the market implied a 96% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $13.2k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 96¢ means
96%chance the market gave
−2332American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 95.9¢
- Implied odds
- 95.9%
- Size
- $13.2k
- Placed
- Jul 14, 17:42 EDT
- Market close
- Aug 13, 12:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- StudentMoney
- Tx
- 0x4690e8df…
This wallet's graded record
2/4-14.2 pts
expected 2.6 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $22.2k | excluded |
| Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? | LOW BUY No @ 99.2¢ | $15.6k | excluded |
| Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? | LOW BUY No @ 99.1¢ | $24.9k | excluded |
| Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? | LOW BUY No @ 98.9¢ | $47.5k 2.7× usual |
excluded |
| Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? | LOW BUY No @ 99¢ | $29.8k | excluded |
| Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? | LOW BUY No @ 99.3¢ | $11.2k | excluded |