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yougotme

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 1.0 wins, so it did +4.8 pts better than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
+4.8 pts
Called / graded
1/1
Expected from price
1.0
Flagged volume
$827.0k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±21.4 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$44.3k
Last 30 days +$0 · $7.45M volume · 6,053 trades · since Dec 07, 19:00 EST

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API
Realized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$97.4k
Open P&L · 0 positions
+$0
Closed-position win rate
100%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
321d
1243 markets traded

By category

CategoryGradedCalledExpectedEdge
Other111.0+4.8 pts

History

MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWhenResult
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.8¢ $14.6k100% 72d agoexcluded
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?LOW BUY No @ 98.9¢ $29.5k99% 81d agoexcluded
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?LOW BUY No @ 99¢ $20.8k99% 81d agoexcluded
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?LOW BUY No @ 99.4¢ $29.6k99% 84d agoexcluded
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ $163.9k
6.1× usual
100% 88d agoexcluded
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?LOW BUY Yes @ 95.2¢ $10.2k95% 88d agocalled
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?LOW BUY No @ 98.6¢ $28.7k99% 158d agoexcluded
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?LOW BUY No @ 98.7¢ $14.1k99% 158d agoexcluded
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?LOW BUY No @ 98.6¢ $47.8k99% 158d agoexcluded
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?LOW BUY Yes @ 98.9¢ $35.4k99% 185d agoexcluded
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $14.2k0% 189d agoexcluded
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.7¢ $37.2k100% 190d agoexcluded
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?LOW BUY Yes @ 96.8¢ $11.4k97% 199d agoexcluded
US forces enter Iran by April 30?LOW SELL Yes @ 98.9¢ $11.4k1% 199d agoexcluded
US forces enter Iran by March 31?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $12.9k0% 202d agoexcluded
US forces enter Iran by March 31?LOW BUY No @ 98.3¢ $13.9k98% 206d agoexcluded
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.8¢ $16.8k100% 234d agoexcluded
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $78.9k
2.9× usual
100% 239d agoexcluded
US strikes Iran by February 18, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $68.8k
2.6× usual
100% 247d agoexcluded
Government shutdown on Saturday?LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ $71.5k
2.6× usual
100% 251d agoexcluded
U.S. strike on Somalia by February 7?LOW BUY No @ 98.7¢ $15.5k99% 256d agoexcluded
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.7¢ $27.0k100% 294d agoexcluded
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ $52.7k0% 294d agoexcluded

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