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What this means. A wallet put $25.5k on not No, at a price that gave it a 2% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$25.5k
SELL No @ 98¢ · 26,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Politics
What happened
Wallet plumbis took No (sell) for $25.5k at an average 98¢. At that price the market implied a 2% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $25.5k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 98¢
- Implied odds
- 2.0%
- Size
- $25.5k
- Placed
- Aug 02, 09:47 EDT
- Market close
- Aug 13, 12:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- plumbis
- Tx
- 0x0e94c525…
This wallet's graded record
1/1+52.0 pts
expected 0.5 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -2 ptsNo price · entry 98¢ · resolved No · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $22.2k | excluded |
| Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? | LOW BUY No @ 99.2¢ | $15.6k | excluded |
| Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? | LOW BUY No @ 99.1¢ | $24.9k | excluded |
| Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? | LOW BUY No @ 98.9¢ | $47.5k 2.7× usual |
excluded |
| Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? | LOW BUY No @ 99¢ | $29.8k | excluded |
| Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? | LOW BUY No @ 99.3¢ | $11.2k | excluded |