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What this means. A wallet put $32.3k on No, at a price that gave it a 94% chance. It won. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$32.3k
BUY No @ 93.9¢ · 34,369 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favorite2 fills in 1hEarly (>24h before close)2.2× this wallet's usual betPolitics
What happened
Wallet plumbis took No (buy) for $32.3k at an average 93.9¢. At that price the market implied a 94% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $32.3k+1
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 94¢ means
94%chance the market gave
−1546American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 93.9¢
- Implied odds
- 93.9%
- Size
- $32.3k
- Placed
- Jul 11, 13:35 EDT
- Market close
- Aug 13, 12:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- plumbis
- Tx
- 0xf052eb63…
This wallet's graded record
1/1+52.0 pts
expected 0.5 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $22.2k | excluded |
| Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? | LOW BUY No @ 99.2¢ | $15.6k | excluded |
| Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? | LOW BUY No @ 99.1¢ | $24.9k | excluded |
| Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? | LOW BUY No @ 98.9¢ | $47.5k 2.7× usual |
excluded |
| Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? | LOW BUY No @ 99¢ | $29.8k | excluded |
| Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? | LOW BUY No @ 99.3¢ | $11.2k | excluded |