Louisville Cardinals vs. Michigan State Spartans
Who's on each side
Whale money on this market, split by track record. Proven wallets beat the price over 20+ graded bets; losing wallets clearly lost to it. Everyone else is unrated.
| Side | All whales | Proven | Losing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Michigan State Spartans | $1.12M 19 flags |
$73.4k 2 wallets |
none |
| Not Michigan State Spartans | $702.3k 10 flags |
none | none |
| Not Louisville Cardinals | $211.6k 7 flags |
none | none |
| Louisville Cardinals | $67.0k 3 flags |
none | none |
A proven wallet on a side is a reason to look closer, not a verdict. Records come from past bets; see how to use this. Information, not advice.
Flags on this market
| Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|
| MED SELL Michigan State Spartans @ 99.9¢ | $335.5k 16.4× usual |
excluded |
| LOW SELL Michigan State Spartans @ 99.9¢ | $99.5k | excluded |
| LOW SELL Michigan State Spartans @ 99.9¢ | $42.9k | excluded |
| LOW SELL Michigan State Spartans @ 99.9¢ | $47.5k | excluded |
| LOW SELL Michigan State Spartans @ 99.9¢ | $18.8k | excluded |
| LOW SELL Michigan State Spartans @ 99.9¢ | $80.7k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Michigan State Spartans @ 99.9¢ | $25.0k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Michigan State Spartans @ 99.9¢ | $75.4k | excluded |
| LOW SELL Michigan State Spartans @ 99.9¢ | $18.4k | excluded |
| LOW SELL Michigan State Spartans @ 99.8¢ | $13.8k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Michigan State Spartans @ 98.4¢ | $57.2k 2.1× usual |
excluded |
| LOW BUY Michigan State Spartans @ 99¢ | $15.5k | excluded |
| MED BUY Michigan State Spartans @ 93.4¢ | $31.5k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Michigan State Spartans @ 85¢ | $35.6k | excluded |
| LOW SELL Louisville Cardinals @ 21¢ | $10.5k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Michigan State Spartans @ 78¢ | $66.9k 2.7× usual |
excluded |
| MED BUY Michigan State Spartans @ 82¢ | $63.6k | excluded |
| MED BUY Michigan State Spartans @ 67¢ | $54.6k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Michigan State Spartans @ 69¢ | $20.5k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Louisville Cardinals @ 32¢ | $14.9k | excluded |
| LOW SELL Louisville Cardinals @ 32¢ | $34.3k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Louisville Cardinals @ 33¢ | $16.4k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Michigan State Spartans @ 68¢ | $13.7k | excluded |
| LOW SELL Michigan State Spartans @ 66¢ | $17.4k | excluded |
| LOW SELL Louisville Cardinals @ 35¢ | $23.6k | excluded |
| LOW SELL Louisville Cardinals @ 34¢ | $13.1k | excluded |
| MED SELL Louisville Cardinals @ 34¢ | $105.2k 3.0× usual |
excluded |
| LOW SELL Louisville Cardinals @ 34¢ | $10.9k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Michigan State Spartans @ 65¢ | $16.2k | excluded |
| MED BUY Michigan State Spartans @ 65¢ | $64.5k | excluded |
| LOW SELL Louisville Cardinals @ 35¢ | $14.0k | excluded |
| MED BUY Michigan State Spartans @ 65¢ | $45.1k 2.9× usual |
excluded |
| MED BUY Michigan State Spartans @ 65¢ | $330.2k 10.6× usual |
excluded |
| LOW BUY Michigan State Spartans @ 65¢ | $26.0k | excluded |
| MED BUY Michigan State Spartans @ 65¢ | $93.9k 4.6× usual |
excluded |
| LOW BUY Michigan State Spartans @ 65¢ | $12.9k | excluded |
| LOW SELL Michigan State Spartans @ 62¢ | $27.8k | missed |
| LOW BUY Michigan State Spartans @ 62¢ | $75.3k | called |
| LOW BUY Louisville Cardinals @ 38¢ | $35.7k | missed |
Summary
WhaleGrader has logged 39 whale trades on this market totalling $2.10M from 31 wallets. The largest was $335.5k (sell Michigan State Spartans at 99.9¢). Most whale money ($1.12M) went to Michigan State Spartans. 26 of 39 graded flags here called the outcome. The biggest whale here, elkmonkey ($443.1k), has called 33 of 59 graded flags overall (-4.3 pts vs price).
Market data from Polymarket (cbb-lou-mst-2026-03-21).