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MMatt

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.4 wins, so it did -38.0 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
-38.0 pts
Called / graded
0/1
Expected from price
0.4
Flagged volume
$58.0k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±48.5 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$7,259
Last 30 days −$163 · $925.3k volume · 1,823 trades · since Jun 05, 20:00 EDT

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API
Realized P&L
−$7,167
Open P&L · 13 positions
−$77
Closed-position win rate
46%
257 closed
Wallet age · markets
871d
242 markets traded

By category

CategoryGradedCalledExpectedEdge
Sports100.4-38.0 pts

History

MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWhenResult
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Iowa HawkeyesLOW SELL Nebraska Cornhuskers @ 52¢ $30.2k48% 211d agoexcluded
Louisville Cardinals vs. Michigan State SpartansLOW SELL Michigan State Spartans @ 62¢ $27.8k38% 217d agomissed

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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x1ddddf…