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What this means. A wallet put $16.4k on Louisville Cardinals, at a price that gave it a 33% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no clear edge yet (-20.1 pts over 20 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$16.4k
BUY Louisville Cardinals @ 33¢ · 49,613 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet Feromont took Louisville Cardinals (buy) for $16.4k at an average 33¢. At that price the market implied a 33% chance for that side. The market resolved Michigan State Spartans. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $16.4k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 33¢ means
33%chance the market gave
+203American odds
$1.00paid per share if Louisville Cardinals wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 33¢
- Implied odds
- 33.0%
- As American odds
- +203 no vig
- Size
- $16.4k
- Placed
- Mar 21, 14:22 EDT
- Market close
- Mar 21, 00:00 EDT
- Result
- Michigan State Spartans
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- Feromont
- Tx
- 0xff321f28…
This wallet's graded record
8/20-20.1 pts
expected 12.0 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| MED SELL Michigan State Spartans @ 99.9¢ | $335.5k 16.4× usual |
excluded | |
| LOW SELL Michigan State Spartans @ 99.9¢ | $99.5k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Michigan State Spartans @ 99.9¢ | $42.9k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Michigan State Spartans @ 99.9¢ | $47.5k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Michigan State Spartans @ 99.9¢ | $18.8k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Michigan State Spartans @ 99.9¢ | $80.7k | excluded |