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Every $10k+ Polymarket bet and big odds move, newest first. Each one is graded once its market settles. ?

Pending = market not settled yet · Called = the whale's side won · Missed = it lost · Excluded = not graded. All terms explained →

32 matching · live · HIGH-only RSS · data updated 4m ago

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Straight from Polymarket's public trade feed, refreshed every 10s while this tab is open. Grades appear after markets resolve. Information, not advice.
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MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?LOW SELL No @ 94¢ $14.1k6% Outsid3rTrading40m agopending
Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?LOW Yes DOWN -10.0 pts $69.0k
24h vol
73% —2h agopending
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ $64.1k
2.3× usual
100% Car2h agopending
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?LOW BUY No @ 95.4¢ $19.6k95% afdafdafdafdafd2h agopending
Exact Score: Atlante FC 0 - 0 Atlético San Luis?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $50.0k
3.1× usual
100% Flaznorp2h agopending
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?LOW BUY No @ 96.3¢ $17.5k96% tourists4h agopending
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?LOW Yes UP +13.0 pts $101.6k
24h vol
75% —5h agopending
NATO x Russia military clash by November 30, 2026?LOW Yes DOWN -14.5 pts $108.8k
24h vol
90% —7h agopending
NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026?MED Yes DOWN -16.5 pts $311.8k
24h vol
94% —7h agopending
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?MED Yes DOWN -17.5 pts $267.6k
24h vol
82% —7h agopending
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $12.9k100% ElonSpam8h agopending
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ $35.4k100% tetrase8h agopending
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?LOW SELL No @ 81¢ $12.2k19% Mrkrabs17018h agopending
NATO x Russia military clash by November 30, 2026?MED Yes DOWN -15.0 pts $110.9k
24h vol
89% —9h agopending
Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?LOW SELL No @ 95¢ $11.4k5% DFK10h agopending
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ $53.3k100% Snow-White10h agopending
NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026?MED Yes DOWN -17.0 pts $306.5k
24h vol
95% —11h agopending
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.8¢ $37.4k100% urhfrhchj12312311h agopending
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ $141.7k
2.1× usual
100% bondor11h agopending
Deportivo Alavés leading at halftime?LOW BUY No @ 97¢ $10.2k97% LonnieHawkins11h agoexcluded
Exact Score: VfB Stuttgart 1 - 1 Borussia Mönchengladbach?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $49.9k
3.1× usual
100% Flaznorp11h agoexcluded
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ $20.0k100% AZwater11h agopending
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?LOW BUY No @ 99.2¢ $24.7k99% tetrase12h agopending
France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?HIGH SELL No @ 85¢ $25.5k15% 0x6774…c635 NEW12h agopending
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31?LOW BUY No @ 81¢ $30.8k81% frostnovae12h agopending
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?LOW BUY Yes @ 89¢ $14.2k89% mr.ozi13h agopending
Iran full airspace closure by December 31?LOW Yes UP +11.5 pts $120.0k
24h vol
50% —13h agopending
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?LOW SELL No @ 83¢ $24.9k17% LulaVaiPerder13h agopending
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026?LOW BUY Yes @ 34¢ $10.2k34% LinkE514h agopending
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?LOW BUY No @ 98.7¢ $30.1k99% 4e2fbc2acf15h agopending
Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026?LOW BUY No @ 83¢ $13.2k83% 0x2c33…056315h agopending
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?LOW BUY No @ 99¢ $33.2k99% tetrase15h agopending