← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $24.9k on not No, at a price that gave it a 17% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$24.9k
SELL No @ 83¢ · 30,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet LulaVaiPerder took No (sell) for $24.9k at an average 83¢. At that price the market implied a 17% chance for that side. Pending: the market hasn't settled yet. Once it does, we grade this flag called (the whale's side won) or missed (it lost). More
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $24.9k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 83¢
- Implied odds
- 17.1%
- Size
- $24.9k
- Placed
- Oct 23, 13:30 EDT
- Market close
- Dec 31, 23:59 EST
- Result
- not settled yet
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- LulaVaiPerder
- Tx
- 0xa8482420…
This wallet's graded record
3/4-16.5 pts
expected 3.7 from price
Share this receipt
Price since this bet
Since entry +1.4 ptsNo price · entry 83¢ · now 82¢ · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | LOW SELL No @ 81¢ | $12.2k | pending |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | LOW SELL No @ 84¢ | $16.8k | pending |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | LOW BUY No @ 85¢ | $10.2k | pending |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | LOW BUY No @ 84¢ | $34.8k | pending |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | LOW SELL No @ 83¢ | $20.0k | pending |