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What this means. A wallet put $20.0k on No, at a price that gave it a 100% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?pending
$20.0k
BUY No @ 99.8¢ · 20,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)Other

What happened

Wallet AZwater took No (buy) for $20.0k at an average 99.8¢. At that price the market implied a 100% chance for that side. Pending: the market hasn't settled yet. Once it does, we grade this flag called (the whale's side won) or missed (it lost). More

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $20.0k+0
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 100¢ means
100%chance the market gave
—American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
99.8¢
Implied odds
99.8%
Size
$20.0k
Placed
Oct 23, 15:35 EDT
Market close
Oct 26, 23:59 EDT
Result
not settled yet
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
AZwater
Tx
0xe6cfa952…

Price since this bet

Since entry -0.0 pts
No price · entry 99.8¢ · now 99.8¢
95¢99¢102¢ Whale entry 99.8¢ · $20.0k WHALE $20.0K @ 99.8¢ -0 PTS
Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.