← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $49.9k on No, at a price that gave it a 100% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 10 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$49.9k
BUY No @ 99.9¢ · 50,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteLate (<1h before start)3.1× this wallet's usual betOther
What happened
Wallet Flaznorp took No (buy) for $49.9k at an average 99.9¢. At that price the market implied a 100% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $49.9k+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 100¢ means
100%chance the market gave
—American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 99.9¢
- Implied odds
- 99.9%
- Size
- $49.9k
- Placed
- Oct 23, 15:42 EDT
- Market close
- Oct 23, 14:30 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- Flaznorp
- Tx
- 0xe80ff5ec…
This wallet's graded record
9/10+8.2 pts
expected 8.2 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +0 ptsNo price · entry 99.9¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.