WhaleGrader Log inSign up
← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $25.5k on not No, at a price that gave it a 15% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?pending
$25.5k
SELL No @ 85¢ · 30,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Fresh walletOther

What happened

Wallet 0x6774…c635 took No (sell) for $25.5k at an average 85¢. At that price the market implied a 15% chance for that side. Pending: the market hasn't settled yet. Once it does, we grade this flag called (the whale's side won) or missed (it lost). More

Why this was flagged

HIGH
Size $25.5k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Fresh wallet (new or ≤5 markets)+2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
Entry price
85¢
Implied odds
15.0%
Size
$25.5k
Placed
Oct 23, 14:25 EDT
Market close
Dec 31, 23:59 EST
Result
not settled yet
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
0x6774…c635
Tx
0xd977dec7…

Price since this bet

Since entry -0.5 pts
No price · entry 85¢ · now 86¢ · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
75¢82¢89¢ Whale entry 85¢ · $25.5k WHALE $25.5K @ 85¢ -1 PTS
Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?HIGH SELL No @ 87¢ $44.4k13% 0x6774…c635 NEW20h agopending
France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?HIGH BUY No @ 85¢ $109.9k
2.5× usual
85% 0x6774…c635 NEW21h agopending
France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 85¢ $11.8k85% StarryPath21h agopending