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What this means. A wallet put $30.1k on No, at a price that gave it a 99% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?pending
$30.1k
BUY No @ 98.7¢ · 30,524 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)Other

What happened

Wallet 4e2fbc2acf took No (buy) for $30.1k at an average 98.7¢. At that price the market implied a 99% chance for that side. Pending: the market hasn't settled yet. Once it does, we grade this flag called (the whale's side won) or missed (it lost). More

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $30.1k+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 99¢ means
99%chance the market gave
−7592American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
98.7¢
Implied odds
98.7%
Size
$30.1k
Placed
Oct 23, 12:04 EDT
Market close
Dec 31, 23:59 EST
Result
not settled yet
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
4e2fbc2acf
Tx
0x441aedde…

Price since this bet

Since entry +0.1 pts
No price · entry 98.7¢ · now 98.8¢
94¢98¢101¢ Whale entry 98.7¢ · $30.1k WHALE $30.1K @ 98.7¢ +0 PTS
Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.