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What this means. A wallet put $50.0k on No, at a price that gave it a 100% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 10 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$50.0k
BUY No @ 99.9¢ · 50,010 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteLate (<1h before start)3.1× this wallet's usual betOther
What happened
Wallet Flaznorp took No (buy) for $50.0k at an average 99.9¢. At that price the market implied a 100% chance for that side. Pending: the market hasn't settled yet. Once it does, we grade this flag called (the whale's side won) or missed (it lost). More It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $50.0k+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 100¢ means
100%chance the market gave
—American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 99.9¢
- Implied odds
- 99.9%
- Size
- $50.0k
- Placed
- Oct 24, 00:19 EDT
- Market close
- Oct 23, 23:00 EDT
- Result
- not settled yet
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- Flaznorp
- Tx
- 0xd98efd87…
This wallet's graded record
9/10+8.2 pts
expected 8.2 from price
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Price since this bet
Since entry +0.1 ptsNo price · entry 99.9¢ · now 100¢
Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.